OAFC BBS - All Topics: Archive: Sabermatic predictions
This website http://yankeefan.blogspot.com/ has a few trial runs for 2006.
First are ZiPS projections of the 2006 season using Diamond Mine Baseball. 100 trials of the 2006 season were run. The A's won the AL West 88% of the time and the AL Wild Card 6% of the time.
Second are Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections, again with 100 trials of the 2006 season run on Diamond Mine Baseball simulation. More encouraging projections: the A's won the AL West 75% of the time and the AL Wild Card 11% of the time.
No other AL team dominated their division in either projection as much as the A's.
I'm eager to see how the real season plays out this year!!